Famous stock picking rules, honestly tested
RSI 2 pullback
Above the 200-day average, enter when the 2-day RSI drops below 10; exit on a close above the 5-day average, after 10 days or 5% below the entry.
| Market | Raw backtest a year | Honest estimate a year | Trades | The market, same years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US2019–2026 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4622 | — |
| Hong Kong2019–2026 | -16.6% | -18.6% | 4399 | 0.7% |
How to read this
Raw backtest: after costs. Honest estimate: also keeps delisted US stocks in and is discounted for luck. A free account tests the last 5 years, so its numbers can differ.
The market (Hong Kong): the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong 2800, dividends included, over the same dates.