Famous stock picking rules, honestly tested
52-week high
Enter at a new 52-week closing high on 1.5 times normal volume, above the 200-day average; exit below the 20-day low, after 60 days or 8% below the entry.
| Market | Raw backtest a year | Honest estimate a year | Trades | The market, same years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US2019–2026 | 3.9% | 2.9% | 536 | — |
| Hong Kong2019–2026 | -0.6% | -14.6% | 589 | 0.7% |
How to read this
Raw backtest: after costs. Honest estimate: also keeps delisted US stocks in and is discounted for luck. A free account tests the last 5 years, so its numbers can differ.
The market (Hong Kong): the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong 2800, dividends included, over the same dates.