事件之後
選一個事件,看看過去每次發生後的幾週和幾個月,大市怎樣走。
季度期權到期日(四巫日)之後
這裏的大市是我們涵蓋的美股(市值逾100億美元)的等權平均,不是標普500指數 · 我們的價格中有34次(2018-05-02至2026-10-30) · 由當日收市價起計
| 2週 | 4週 | 3個月 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 中間結果 | +1.0% | +2.8% | +3.3% |
| 上升比例 | 71% | 62% | 79% |
| 最差 | -9.8% | -7.9% | -28.3% |
| 最好 | +8.4% | +23.4% | +39.4% |
| 任何時段 | +0.8% · 62% | +1.5% · 65% | +3.8% · 72% |
「任何時段」:自2018-05-02以來每個同樣長度時段的中間結果和上升比例,不論有沒有事件。
逐次列出(34次),最近的在前
| 日期 | 2週 | 4週 | 3個月 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | -0.7% | -0.3% | — |
| 2026-06-18 | +1.7% | -0.1% | +0.6% |
| 2026-03-20 | +2.8% | +9.0% | +11.6% |
| 2025-12-19 | +2.8% | +3.9% | -0.7% |
| 2025-09-19 | +1.0% | -0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2025-06-20 | +3.8% | +3.9% | +8.5% |
| 2025-03-21 | -9.8% | -7.6% | +5.7% |
| 2024-12-20 | +0.0% | +4.2% | -0.6% |
| 2024-09-20 | +0.9% | +3.0% | +0.1% |
| 2024-06-21 | +0.1% | +3.0% | +7.4% |
| 2024-03-15 | +2.6% | -2.0% | -0.2% |
| 2023-12-15 | +1.0% | -1.2% | +7.3% |
| 2023-09-15 | -3.3% | -4.0% | +7.5% |
| 2023-06-16 | +1.3% | +3.8% | +0.4% |
| 2023-03-17 | +5.4% | +6.0% | +9.0% |
| 2022-12-16 | -0.1% | +3.8% | +1.9% |
| 2022-09-16 | -7.8% | -7.9% | +2.3% |
| 2022-06-17 | +3.6% | +6.2% | +7.4% |
| 2022-03-18 | +1.3% | -1.4% | -17.5% |
| 2021-12-17 | +3.3% | -1.5% | -3.1% |
| 2021-09-17 | -1.6% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
| 2021-06-18 | +3.7% | -0.7% | +4.4% |
| 2021-03-19 | +2.7% | +4.4% | +5.2% |
| 2020-12-18 | -0.2% | +4.2% | +5.1% |
| 2020-09-18 | +1.0% | +5.2% | +17.6% |
| 2020-06-19 | +1.4% | +4.0% | +7.2% |
| 2020-03-20 | +8.4% | +23.4% | +39.4% |
| 2019-12-20 | +0.3% | +2.7% | -28.3% |
| 2019-09-20 | -2.0% | -0.8% | +5.8% |
| 2019-06-21 | +1.0% | +1.3% | +1.4% |
| 2019-03-15 | +0.5% | +3.7% | +2.7% |
| 2018-12-21 | +6.7% | +10.0% | +18.1% |
| 2018-09-21 | -2.4% | -6.7% | -17.6% |
| 2018-06-15 | -2.1% | +0.0% | +3.3% |
- 這是過去每次之後的走勢,不是下一次之後會怎樣。
- 各時段互相重疊:多數較長時段包含下一次事件,所以這些數字不是各自獨立的結果。
- 日期:third Friday of Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec, the session before when the market is shut,2026-11-07核對。 來源