After an event
Pick an event to see what the market did in the weeks and months after each past time it happened.
US presidential election: what came after
The market here is the average of the US stocks we cover (over US$10B), equal-weighted, not the S&P 500 · 2 times in our prices (2018-05-02 to 2026-10-30) · measured from the next day's close (the news came after the market shut)
| 2 weeks | 4 weeks | 3 months | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any window | +0.8% · 62% | +1.5% · 65% | +3.8% · 72% |
“Any window”: the middle result and the share that rose over every window of the same length since 2018-05-02, event or not.
Too few to summarise: we need 5 and our prices hold 2. Here is each one.
Each one (2), newest first
| Date | 2 weeks | 4 weeks | 3 months |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-05 | -0.1% | +2.5% | +1.3% |
| 2020-11-03 | +5.6% | +9.7% | +17.9% |
- What happened after past ones, not what will happen after the next one.
- Dates: FEC federal election results, checked 2026-11-07. Source