After an event
Pick an event to see what the market did in the weeks and months after each past time it happened.
US jobs report (payrolls): what came after
The market here is the average of the US stocks we cover (over US$10B), equal-weighted, not the S&P 500 · 101 times in our prices (2018-05-02 to 2026-10-30) · measured from that day's close
| 2 weeks | 4 weeks | 3 months | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle result | +0.8% | +1.4% | +4.4% |
| Share that rose | 64% | 63% | 69% |
| Worst | -26.1% | -19.9% | -18.9% |
| Best | +13.9% | +15.4% | +30.4% |
| Any window | +0.8% · 62% | +1.5% · 65% | +3.8% · 72% |
“Any window”: the middle result and the share that rose over every window of the same length since 2018-05-02, event or not.
Each one (101), newest first
| Date | 2 weeks | 4 weeks | 3 months |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | +0.4% | +1.7% | — |
| 2026-09-04 | -2.3% | -2.9% | — |
| 2026-08-07 | +0.5% | -0.6% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | -1.0% | -0.4% | -2.0% |
| 2026-06-05 | +1.4% | +2.5% | +5.0% |
| 2026-05-08 | +1.0% | +1.0% | +6.7% |
| 2026-04-03 | +6.1% | +4.9% | +9.8% |
| 2026-03-06 | -4.0% | -1.4% | +5.7% |
| 2026-02-11 | +0.8% | -4.9% | +1.3% |
| 2026-01-09 | +0.8% | +1.4% | +0.5% |
| 2025-12-16 | +0.2% | +5.0% | +0.3% |
| 2025-11-20 | +6.2% | +6.6% | +11.5% |
| 2025-09-05 | +1.3% | +2.3% | +2.9% |
| 2025-08-01 | +2.2% | +4.0% | +5.1% |
| 2025-07-03 | -0.3% | -1.7% | +4.4% |
| 2025-06-06 | +0.3% | +3.4% | +6.8% |
| 2025-05-02 | +5.1% | +3.7% | +9.1% |
| 2025-04-04 | +2.4% | +10.8% | +20.8% |
| 2025-03-07 | -1.0% | -10.6% | +4.4% |
| 2025-02-07 | -1.6% | -6.2% | -4.4% |
| 2025-01-10 | +4.9% | +5.3% | -6.6% |
| 2024-12-06 | -5.1% | -5.0% | -8.5% |
| 2024-11-01 | +2.8% | +6.9% | +5.4% |
| 2024-10-04 | +2.1% | -0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2024-09-06 | +4.9% | +5.8% | +12.1% |
| 2024-08-02 | +3.4% | +6.2% | +7.4% |
| 2024-07-05 | +2.1% | +0.2% | +7.5% |
| 2024-06-07 | +1.3% | +0.5% | +4.1% |
| 2024-05-03 | +3.3% | +1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2024-04-05 | -4.4% | -2.2% | -0.7% |
| 2024-03-08 | +1.3% | +1.4% | -0.3% |
| 2024-02-02 | +1.6% | +4.5% | +4.2% |
| 2024-01-05 | +1.1% | +1.0% | +8.9% |
| 2023-12-08 | +4.9% | +4.2% | +11.8% |
| 2023-11-03 | +2.8% | +6.3% | +11.8% |
| 2023-10-06 | -2.3% | +1.2% | +12.6% |
| 2023-09-01 | -1.8% | -6.0% | +1.5% |
| 2023-08-04 | -2.9% | +0.0% | -6.2% |
| 2023-07-07 | +4.1% | +2.2% | -4.8% |
| 2023-06-02 | +3.3% | +4.6% | +5.7% |
| 2023-05-05 | +0.3% | +1.0% | +7.9% |
| 2023-04-07 | +0.6% | -0.6% | +6.2% |
| 2023-03-10 | -0.2% | +3.6% | +5.1% |
| 2023-02-03 | -1.0% | -2.1% | -5.0% |
| 2023-01-06 | +3.6% | +5.5% | +1.6% |
| 2022-12-02 | -5.4% | -5.5% | -0.8% |
| 2022-11-04 | +4.6% | +5.5% | +11.3% |
| 2022-10-07 | +1.7% | +4.9% | +9.9% |
| 2022-09-02 | +0.2% | -5.6% | +6.2% |
| 2022-08-05 | +2.0% | -4.4% | -7.1% |
| 2022-07-08 | +1.9% | +6.7% | -1.7% |
| 2022-06-03 | -11.6% | -8.4% | -5.3% |
| 2022-05-06 | -3.7% | +1.6% | +0.6% |
| 2022-04-01 | -2.6% | -7.7% | -15.6% |
| 2022-03-04 | +3.2% | +4.5% | -3.7% |
| 2022-02-04 | -1.8% | -5.5% | -7.1% |
| 2022-01-07 | -5.4% | -4.3% | -3.9% |
| 2021-12-03 | +1.4% | +4.8% | -7.5% |
| 2021-11-05 | -0.9% | -4.7% | -7.8% |
| 2021-10-08 | +4.3% | +6.0% | +2.1% |
| 2021-09-03 | -4.1% | -4.9% | -3.4% |
| 2021-08-06 | -0.9% | +2.6% | +4.9% |
| 2021-07-02 | -4.2% | -0.3% | -0.9% |
| 2021-06-04 | -2.5% | +1.1% | +4.5% |
| 2021-05-07 | -1.2% | +1.4% | +3.1% |
| 2021-04-02 | +1.7% | +3.1% | +6.3% |
| 2021-03-05 | +3.0% | +5.7% | +11.2% |
| 2021-02-05 | +0.8% | -1.5% | +8.3% |
| 2021-01-08 | -0.1% | +2.4% | +6.6% |
| 2020-12-04 | +1.4% | +1.2% | +5.8% |
| 2020-11-06 | +3.7% | +8.6% | +16.8% |
| 2020-10-02 | +4.2% | -1.9% | +14.9% |
| 2020-09-04 | -2.6% | +2.0% | +14.8% |
| 2020-08-07 | +0.1% | +0.7% | +6.1% |
| 2020-07-02 | +3.5% | +5.0% | +8.0% |
| 2020-06-05 | -3.9% | -2.6% | +4.7% |
| 2020-05-08 | +0.8% | +13.6% | +15.3% |
| 2020-04-03 | +13.9% | +15.4% | +30.4% |
| 2020-03-06 | -26.1% | -19.9% | +7.2% |
| 2020-02-07 | -1.7% | -18.4% | -14.3% |
| 2020-01-10 | -0.5% | +1.8% | -18.9% |
| 2019-12-06 | +2.2% | +2.5% | -10.8% |
| 2019-11-01 | +1.5% | +1.5% | +6.6% |
| 2019-10-04 | +1.2% | +3.7% | +9.0% |
| 2019-09-06 | +0.6% | -1.4% | +3.9% |
| 2019-08-02 | -1.5% | -0.2% | +2.8% |
| 2019-07-05 | -0.5% | -2.3% | -3.2% |
| 2019-06-07 | +2.5% | +3.6% | +3.4% |
| 2019-05-03 | -2.8% | -5.9% | -0.1% |
| 2019-04-05 | +0.2% | +1.1% | +3.2% |
| 2019-03-08 | +1.8% | +5.4% | +5.1% |
| 2019-02-01 | +2.8% | +3.1% | +8.2% |
| 2019-01-04 | +6.5% | +9.5% | +16.0% |
| 2018-12-07 | -8.2% | -2.0% | +7.6% |
| 2018-11-02 | +0.6% | +2.5% | +2.2% |
| 2018-10-05 | -4.4% | -5.3% | -9.9% |
| 2018-09-07 | +1.9% | -0.5% | -8.6% |
| 2018-08-03 | +0.1% | +1.7% | -4.7% |
| 2018-07-06 | +1.0% | +1.9% | +2.6% |
| 2018-06-01 | +2.0% | -0.1% | +5.1% |
| 2018-05-04 | +2.0% | +2.6% | +5.7% |
- What happened after past ones, not what will happen after the next one.
- The windows overlap: most longer windows hold the next one, so those figures are not separate readings.
- Dates: BLS release archive, checked 2026-11-07. Source