After an event
Pick an event to see what the market did in the weeks and months after each past time it happened.
Fed (FOMC) rate decision: what came after
The market here is the average of the US stocks we cover (over US$10B), equal-weighted, not the S&P 500 · 70 times in our prices (2018-05-02 to 2026-10-30) · measured from that day's close
| 2 weeks | 4 weeks | 3 months | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle result | +1.0% | +2.2% | +3.7% |
| Share that rose | 65% | 70% | 76% |
| Worst | -20.6% | -17.4% | -18.1% |
| Best | +10.9% | +19.9% | +33.2% |
| Any window | +0.8% · 62% | +1.5% · 65% | +3.8% · 72% |
“Any window”: the middle result and the share that rose over every window of the same length since 2018-05-02, event or not.
Each one (70), newest first
| Date | 2 weeks | 4 weeks | 3 months |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-16 | -1.4% | -0.6% | — |
| 2026-07-29 | +4.5% | +4.3% | +1.2% |
| 2026-06-17 | +1.9% | +0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2026-04-29 | +1.9% | +4.4% | +6.0% |
| 2026-03-18 | +0.2% | +5.0% | +9.0% |
| 2026-01-28 | +0.9% | +1.7% | +0.3% |
| 2025-12-10 | +0.8% | +3.0% | -0.6% |
| 2025-10-29 | +0.6% | +0.3% | +4.3% |
| 2025-09-17 | +1.0% | +1.1% | +2.0% |
| 2025-07-30 | +1.2% | +1.9% | +4.4% |
| 2025-06-18 | +4.7% | +4.4% | +8.7% |
| 2025-05-07 | +3.2% | +4.7% | +9.1% |
| 2025-03-19 | +0.2% | -6.9% | +4.0% |
| 2025-01-29 | -0.1% | -2.5% | -6.3% |
| 2024-12-18 | +1.4% | +5.1% | +1.1% |
| 2024-11-07 | +1.0% | +2.1% | +0.6% |
| 2024-09-18 | +1.5% | +3.9% | +4.9% |
| 2024-07-31 | -1.9% | +1.3% | +5.0% |
| 2024-06-12 | -0.0% | +2.6% | +4.7% |
| 2024-05-01 | +5.0% | +2.2% | +5.6% |
| 2024-03-20 | -0.8% | -4.6% | -1.0% |
| 2024-01-31 | +2.0% | +4.8% | +3.8% |
| 2023-12-13 | +2.7% | +1.0% | +7.4% |
| 2023-11-01 | +6.7% | +9.1% | +16.6% |
| 2023-09-20 | -4.2% | -3.3% | +9.1% |
| 2023-07-26 | -2.5% | -4.4% | -10.0% |
| 2023-06-14 | +1.0% | +3.9% | +2.4% |
| 2023-05-03 | +0.9% | +0.4% | +8.8% |
| 2023-03-22 | +3.6% | +4.9% | +6.9% |
| 2023-02-01 | +0.2% | -3.3% | -6.3% |
| 2022-12-14 | -2.9% | +1.8% | -4.2% |
| 2022-11-02 | +5.8% | +9.1% | +12.1% |
| 2022-09-21 | +0.4% | -2.9% | +2.8% |
| 2022-07-27 | +5.4% | +3.7% | -3.1% |
| 2022-06-15 | -1.0% | -0.0% | +4.2% |
| 2022-05-04 | -8.6% | -2.2% | -4.7% |
| 2022-03-16 | +5.0% | +2.5% | -12.3% |
| 2022-01-26 | +6.4% | +0.0% | -2.1% |
| 2021-12-15 | +2.5% | -0.4% | -4.8% |
| 2021-11-03 | +0.4% | -4.6% | -8.1% |
| 2021-09-22 | -0.8% | +3.8% | +2.0% |
| 2021-07-28 | +1.8% | +2.4% | +4.8% |
| 2021-06-16 | +0.9% | -0.4% | +3.1% |
| 2021-04-28 | -3.8% | +0.1% | +2.2% |
| 2021-03-17 | -0.8% | +3.3% | +6.0% |
| 2021-01-27 | +6.5% | +4.1% | +13.5% |
| 2020-12-16 | +1.1% | +3.5% | +7.2% |
| 2020-11-05 | +4.1% | +8.9% | +16.7% |
| 2020-09-16 | -1.0% | +3.7% | +14.9% |
| 2020-07-29 | +2.4% | +3.2% | +3.6% |
| 2020-06-10 | -5.1% | -2.7% | +4.8% |
| 2020-04-29 | -5.4% | +3.7% | +12.7% |
| 2020-03-15 | +10.9% | +19.9% | +33.2% |
| 2020-03-03 | -20.6% | -17.4% | +1.1% |
| 2020-01-29 | +3.0% | -8.4% | -12.7% |
| 2019-12-11 | +2.7% | +3.3% | -18.1% |
| 2019-10-30 | +1.1% | +3.4% | +4.7% |
| 2019-09-18 | -4.3% | -1.5% | +4.8% |
| 2019-07-31 | -5.0% | -3.4% | +1.2% |
| 2019-06-19 | +2.3% | +2.3% | +2.6% |
| 2019-05-01 | -2.0% | -4.2% | +2.7% |
| 2019-03-20 | +2.0% | +2.9% | +4.4% |
| 2019-01-30 | +2.9% | +4.3% | +8.4% |
| 2018-12-19 | +1.1% | +7.7% | +13.3% |
| 2018-11-08 | -4.9% | -5.6% | +0.3% |
| 2018-09-26 | -4.8% | -9.6% | -14.5% |
| 2018-08-01 | -0.2% | +3.3% | -6.2% |
| 2018-06-13 | -2.6% | +0.5% | +3.0% |
| 2018-05-02 | +3.0% | +2.4% | +5.8% |
- What happened after past ones, not what will happen after the next one.
- The windows overlap: most longer windows hold the next one, so those figures are not separate readings.
- Dates: Federal Reserve FOMC calendars and statements, checked 2026-11-07. Source